La Liga Betting Preview: Alavés vs Girona
Can Girona Stay Close to the Favourites?
Odds: 1.83
Girona +0.25 looks like a spot of value on the Asian Handicap. This bet splits the stake between 0 and +0.5, giving protection against a narrow result. If Girona win the match, the bet lands at odds of 1.83.
Recent Head-to-Head
Girona claimed a 1-0 home win in the most recent meeting at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi. Across the last seven meetings: 3 Girona wins, 2 draws and 2 Alavés wins.
Recent Form
Alavés
Alavés drew 1-1 away at Sevilla last time out. They dominated possession with 74% but managed only one shot on target. Antonio Martinez scored.
- Last 10 league games: 3 wins, 2 draws, 5 defeats
- Average goals: 0.9
- Average attempts: 10.5
- Average possession: 53.2%
- Average conceded: 1.5
Girona
Girona secured an impressive 2-1 home win over Barcelona in their previous match. They had 30% possession but produced nine shots on goal.
- Last 10 league games: 5 wins, 2 draws, 3 defeats
- Average goals: 1.1
- Average attempts: 10.0
- Average possession: 50.9%
- Average conceded: 1.2
League Table Snapshot
| Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona (13th) | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
| Alavés (15th) | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 26 |
Predicted Lineups
Alavés (4-4-2):
Antonio Sivera; Tenaglia, Garces, Pacheco, Jonny Otto; Calebe, Blanco, Suarez, Alena; Martinez, Boye.
Girona (4-2-3-1):
Gazzaniga; Rincon, Reis, Blind, Arnau; Martin, Witsel; Tsigankov, Lemar, Gil; Vanat.
Key Betting Stats
- Girona have covered +0.25 in 4 of their last 5 away games.
- Girona have covered +0.25 in 7 of their last 10 matches.
- Alavés have failed to cover -0.25 in 15 of their last 20 games.
- Alavés have failed to cover -0.25 in 5 of the last 7 meetings vs Girona.
The odds imply a 54.6% probability, while research suggests closer to 60%, making Girona +0.25 a value selection.
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